Or, you know, wait until Huawei shakes out the big features and ensures they’re bug-free before they start selling outside of the PRC.

You don’t think that China is their end-game, do you?

I live in China. My SO has a HarmonyOS phone already. Interestingly it has a setting to display everything in English (among a lot of other languages).

When my current phone ages out, my next phone has HarmonyOS.

Rent-seeking and modern business culture go together like guillotines and techbrodudes.

About a third of the US’s economy right now is this AI pump-and-dump scam. When, not if, that goes away, there will be a huge ripple effect.

I mean the subprime mortgage crisis was also just in the airy heights of finance … until it brought the world economy down.

Instead of cutting to survive a downturn, Meta is shrinking to fund an aggressive technological pivot.

Protip: when you see Zuck the Fuck going all-in on something, that’s the time to get all-out.

Also:

There is absolutely nobody who can convince me that this is a human being and not an alien in a human skin suit. Look at that face. Look at those dead eyes. Look at the robotic posture and facial expression.

When will it be legal to slash billionaires? I’m still waiting:

I think that may be the only legitimate use of #NotAllMen that I’ve ever seen in my life.

I’m dying here!

That’s not going to happen in anybody currently alive’s lifetime either. The best we can manage right now is the Cedars-Sinai model of a neuron (note the singular!) that approximates the electrical behaviour of a single human neuron. (There are huge biochemical signalling networks in brains that are a large part of brain function as well.)

We are nowhere near close to emulating a single human neuron down to the molecular level, complete with ion channels and all the other raw complexity of the beasts. We’ve barely begun working out how the biochemistry interacts with and modifies that electrical activity. And this is presupposing that the Orch-OR hypothesis (the one that posits essentially quantum computing in the neuron via microtubules and assorted mechanisms held within those) is wrong. If that’s correct, we’re even farther behind on emulating a human neuron.

That’s A human neuron.

We have about 86 billion or so neurons in the brain.

Oh, and wait! Neurons may not even be the whole picture! It’s turning out that we’re finding some “thought” happening outside of the neurons in the brain.

Did I mention that this is all the static structures of the brain? As little as we know about those, we know even less about the dynamic interaction of things. Biochemical weighting. Plasticity vs. rigidity. Dendrite pruning and regrowth. We know none of this yet, except that they exist.

Oopsie!

Either glory seeking or legitimately trying to help.

¿Por que no los dos?

Here’s my prediction. So-called “AGI” will not happen at any point in the life of anybody alive today (including people who were born while I was typing this message). See, thing is, we can’t even define intelligence in any meaningful way that has general agreement among the academic stakeholders (philosophers, neural scientists, cognitive scientists, etc.) and there isn’t any plausible line of inquiry that will change this in the pipeline that I can find.

And you think a bunch of techbrodudes are going to successfully make an artificial version of something that can’t even be successfully defined?

Yeah. Not gonna happen.

Ooh! Whataboutism! Absolutely not an irrelevant injection here, not in the slightest!

When I sit down to play with any of my woodwinds or kalimbas or such, I can find myself realizing that two hours have gone by without noticing.

That’s the name of your planet? Cool cool cool.

I like the world you live in. I recommend you avoid Earth.

So in your world trains never derail, trucks never crash?

Here on planet Earth…

So wake me up when all of this has been solved. (Note the tense.) All kinds of things “can be done safely”. (Note both the tense and the mood.) The point is they’re not being done safely. In theory LLMs don’t have to be death spiral machines. In reality they all are.

Just as a professional communication tip here: When the general public is speaking of “AI” right now, they are referring to degenerative AI, not to the older waves of AI hype and collapse.

The older waves have found their niches and perform admirably in them. (My phone’s camera was “AI” before LLMs became a thing, for example.) But that’s not what anybody but a pedant (who is only barely better than a pedarast) means when they say “AI” outside of very specific technological communication contexts.

Now do mining. And transportation. And reactors not blowing up. You know, all those simple to solve problems.

I’ve probably missed a lot more than one. (I don’t even know who that one is.)

This one looks more like an eight year old who put on Dad’s suit and then accidentally got mistaken for an adult and is now afraid in a room of adults.