To those who are saying, something along the lines of, aliens wouldn’t come because they wouldn’t recognise us as intelligent.
That is a really stupid augment, even if they were significantly more intelligent than us, we still standout from all other minds on this planet.
We literally study everything, just for the sake of knowledge.
A high intelligence civilisation that has the ability to reach us, would also have to a high level of curiosity to archive that ability.
To answer question posed. There are two ways to look at this:
if we assume that, at some point an alien civilisation will contact us, the next 10 years is as statistically likely as another ten year timeframe.
from a background rate, of the actual likelihood of being contacted at all. I have to say, it is exceptionally unlikely. The travel distances/times, and the time a civilisation exists for, all count against contact especially physical contact.
There are so many pessimistic comments.
To those who are saying, something along the lines of, aliens wouldn’t come because they wouldn’t recognise us as intelligent.
That is a really stupid augment, even if they were significantly more intelligent than us, we still standout from all other minds on this planet.
We literally study everything, just for the sake of knowledge.
A high intelligence civilisation that has the ability to reach us, would also have to a high level of curiosity to archive that ability.
To answer question posed. There are two ways to look at this: