Image is from the Britannica article on CECOT, known as the Terrorism Confinement Center in English.


This megathread’s topic is inspired by our lovely news regular, @Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net, who talks often about the conditions inside El Salvador and gives nuanced and informative takes.

As the Trump administration continues to make foreign policy blunders that would make even the staunchest anti-imperialist accelerationist blush - and we are barely three months in! - it’s interesting to compare and contrast his policies of incompetent imperialist and domestic management to the dictators in other countries.

Bukele is somewhat unique among fascists, in that he seems to not hide - and seems to even admit to - his evil, self-describing as the world’s “coolest dictator”. El Salvador has no particular shortage of prominent fascists in their history, but one major example is Maximiliano Martínez, who led the country over much of the 1930s and the early 1940s. He was responsible the deaths of many thousands of communists and indigneous people, and yet joined World War 2 on the side of the Allies and against the Nazis.

The comparisons between Martínez and Bukele - and, indeed, between Bukele and Trump - in terms of their impact on minority groups are slowly growing as world attention is being drawn to the country. The recent meeting between Bukele and Trump has shifted a spotlight onto El Salvador’s crime policy; the internal conditions of El Salvador’s prisons are genuinely monstrous. One gets a similar feeling as when reading descriptions of the conditions of Holocaust victims in German concentration camps. Trump has made statements to the effect that he want a similar crime crackdown inside the United States, and I certainly believe that he wants this (ICE is already just kidnapping people off the streets into vans), but his administration has been so chaotic and mismanaged that it’s difficult to determine whether this will be an interest he rapidly drops in favor of some other hair-brained scheme.


Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    More American Air Defense Is on the Way to Help Ukraine - NYT

    Article

    A Patriot air-defense system is moving from Israel to Ukraine, and Western allies are discussing the logistics of getting Germany or Greece to send another.

    Ukraine is getting more help in its war with Russia. A Patriot air-defense system that was based in Israel will be sent to Ukraine after it is refurbished, four current and former U.S. officials said in recent days, and Western allies are discussing the logistics of Germany or Greece giving another one.

    The officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the discussions, declined to describe President Trump’s view of the decision to transfer more Patriot systems to Ukraine. The White House’s National Security Council does not provide details on the strength and placement of defense systems, said James Hewitt, a spokesman for the council. “President Trump has been clear: he wants the war in Ukraine to end and the killing to stop,” he said.

    A former White House official said that the Biden administration had secured the agreement with Israel in September, before the election won by Mr. Trump. The Defense Department said in a statement that “it continues to provide equipment to Ukraine from previously authorized” packages, referring to weaponry pulled from existing inventories and new purchases.

    The delivery, which has not been previously reported, comes as Russia has stepped up its attacks on Ukraine, including an April 24 missile strike on Kyiv that was the deadliest since last summer. A year ago, allies struggled to answer a demand by President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine for seven Patriot systems. Although Ukraine now has eight, only six are functioning. The other two are being refurbished, one of the U.S. officials said. With the one from Israel, and one from Germany or Greece, Ukraine would have 10 Patriot systems in total, largely to protect the capital, Kyiv.

    As Russia has intensified recent attacks, Mr. Trump’s recent public remarks on the war have softened in favor of Ukraine.

    Mr. Trump had a cordial meeting with Mr. Zelensky at Pope Francis’ funeral in Rome last weekend, after a disastrous one in February in the Oval Office. He has dialed down his negative rhetoric about Mr. Zelensky and questioned whether Russia is serious about peace talks. A delayed minerals deal with Ukraine was signed on Wednesday, paving the way for more U.S. military aid.

    On Saturday, Mr. Zelensky told reporters in Kyiv that the minerals deal could mean the United States would send more air-defense systems.

    Under U.S. export rules for sensitive defense equipment, the United States must approve any transfers of the American-made Patriot missile systems to Ukraine, even if they were coming via other countries. The systems are scarce, and their deployment is often a shell game of world hot spots, figuring out which global crisis requires them most to defend U.S. troops, bases and allies.

    Mr. Trump has made ending the war a signature goal of U.S. foreign policy, but at the same time, has flipped that policy on its head. Even though Russia started the war, Mr. Trump has frequently expressed admiration for its president, Vladimir V. Putin, and adopted some Russian talking points, like saying that Ukraine should not be able to join NATO and that Ukraine was somehow responsible for the war despite being invaded.

    Since the start of the war, Mr. Zelensky has repeatedly asked for more Patriot systems, saying they were essential to defend his country. Each Patriot surface-to-air system consists of a battery with a powerful radar system and mobile launchers that fire missiles to intercept incoming projectiles. The United States first sent a Patriot system to Ukraine in April 2023. By January 2024, there were already missile shortages.

    On Friday, Col. Yurii Ihnat, a spokesman in Ukraine’s air force, said it was no secret that Ukraine needed more air defenses. “We are really waiting” for supplies, he said.

    Since taking office, Mr. Trump has publicly brushed off Mr. Zelensky’s requests for more Patriots, which Mr. Zelensky has recently offered to buy. When asked about Mr. Zelensky’s request to buy Patriots almost three weeks ago, Mr. Trump said the Ukrainian leader was “always looking to purchase missiles.” But Russia has been increasing its attacks on Ukrainian cities — including an exploding drone attack on Kyiv on Sunday that wounded 11 people — ever since the United States started pushing peace talks in February.

    On April 24, a Russian ballistic missile killed 13 people and injured almost 90 others in Kyiv. In a rare rebuke of Mr. Putin, Mr. Trump wrote on social media, “Vladimir, STOP!” He later said there was no reason for Mr. Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas. “It makes me think that maybe he doesn’t want to stop the war, he’s just tapping me along.”

    The attack starkly illustrated how Russia can overwhelm Patriot systems, often by sending a barrage of drones and missiles almost simultaneously. Nearly 70 missiles, including ballistic ones, and about 150 attack drones targeted cities across Ukraine that night, although Kyiv was hit the hardest.

    Ukraine lacked the air defenses to shoot down that many missiles and drones, said Ihor Klymenko, the country’s minister of internal affairs. The next night, Mr. Zelensky renewed his offer to buy Patriots. “We are ready to purchase the necessary number of Patriot systems for our country,” he said in his nightly speech. “This is not about charity.”

    On April 26, Mr. Zelensky and Mr. Trump met on the sidelines of the pope’s funeral in Vatican City, leading to the apparent reset of their relationship after the Oval Office encounter in February. Both Mr. Trump and Vice President JD Vance berated the Ukrainian president in that meeting, saying he had not expressed sufficient gratitude for American help.

    After the pope’s funeral, Mr. Zelensky said he and Mr. Trump had talked about a deal to share in the profit from extraction of Ukraine’s natural resources. Mr. Trump later said Mr. Zelensky asked for Patriot missiles.

    “He told me that he needs more weapons,” Mr. Trump told reporters. “He’s been saying that for three years.” But then, he added, “Look, he wants to do something good for his country.”

    On Wednesday, the United States and Ukraine signed the minerals deal. While it does not explicitly mention security guarantees for Ukraine, it ensures the possibility of shipments of American weapons to Ukraine if a peace deal is not reached with Russia.

    While Ukraine is still receiving weapons authorized under Mr. Biden, those supplies are expected to end this summer.

    The Patriot systems cost at least $1 billion to build and about 90 troops to run.

    Data compiled by the weapons trackers at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London suggest about 186 Patriot systems are in operation worldwide. The United States owns about one-third of them and has sent many abroad to protect allies in Europe, Asia and the Middle East.

    Several dozen Patriots have been sent to the Indo-Pacific region because of threats from China and North Korea, although the United States recently moved at least one to the Middle East to safeguard Israel.

    European allies own about 40 systems, including the eight now in Ukraine.

    The ninth Patriot coming from Israel and being overhauled for Ukraine is an older model, according to two of the U.S. officials. It is expected to be delivered to Ukraine by this summer. Germany and Greece together own about 15 Patriot systems, according to the international institute’s data.

    Kateryna Stepanenko, a Russia analyst at the Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based organization, said the increased Russian strikes likely sought in part to deplete some of Ukraine’s air defenses and stocks.

    “Part of it is a psychological and political campaign that the Kremlin is waging, in which it’s trying to scare Ukrainian people into essentially accepting capitulation, when the realities of the battlefield for Russia are far from Russia actually winning,” Ms. Stepanenko said in an interview.

    • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      3 months ago

      This could be the second retired Israeli Patriot PAC-2 battery being sent to Ukraine, one was already planned to be sent earlier this year, or it could be about refurbishing that already planned battery. Interesting that the deal was made under Biden, I thought this was a Trump idea at first.

      I don’t think more Patriot PAC-2s will help against Russian ballistic missiles, the altitude ceiling for ballistic targets on the PAC 2 is 20km, Iskander M ballistic missiles can reach altitudes as high as 50km. Ukraine would need more Patriot PAC-3 MSE batteries for a more realistic chance of interception, or to get one of their rare Soviet era S-300V batteries operational, if they have any left. The loss of an S-300V battery at Sumy was very costly, there are no replacements for this that Ukraine can source.

    • miz [any, any]@hexbear.net
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      3 months ago

      holy fucking shit

      According to Reuters, Brent and WTI have lost 15.4% and 17% respectively, in April, the biggest percentage drops since November 2021.

      • plinky [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        3 months ago

        there would be some bankruptcy wave in fracking/canada, if this persists. Also maybe troubles for russia (?). also saudis doing investments in usa, while their budget is fucked, but seems they are the ones doing it, so probably part of mbs designs.

  • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]@hexbear.netOP
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    3 months ago

    If anybody wants to suggest a new thread topic, then you have a few hours before I put the next megathread up to make a suggestion.

    I was thinking either India/Pakistan, or maybe the Spain and Portugal blackouts.

  • SexMachineStalin [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    Estonia increased its military spending to 5.4% of GDP from 3.4% (an increase of €750M).

    This is enough money to provide a significant amount of funding to Rail Baltica, further improve public transport, or even build a nuclear power plant that can make Estonia self-suffifient in complementary renewables/nuclear energy (or even make Estonia an energy exporter).

    But you know, anglo-burn eu-cool nato-cool brainworms

    sounds of the Riigikogu collectively chowing down beet and onion slop and polishing horse cocks

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    Israel indirectly places blame on the United States, with the Israeli Air Force stating that the American ‘THAAD’ system missed the Yemeni missile, allowing it to impact at Ben Gurion Airport – Kann

    • Telegram
    • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      3 months ago

      Not really, the Israeli full statement also says that the Israeli Arrow 2 and 3 systems also failed to intercept.

      Israel’s Arrow air defenses, US THAAD system both failed to intercept Houthi missile, sources say - The Times of Israel

      Both the Israeli Air Force’s long-range Arrow air defense system and the American THAAD system failed to intercept the Houthi missile this morning, defense sources say.

      The IDF says it made several attempts to down the missile, which ultimately landed within the perimeter of Ben Gurion Airport.

      To understand what happened, we have to understand how the layered air defence shield works. There’s Israeli Arrow 3 and optionally US Navy SM-3 for midcourse interception, then Israeli Arrow 2 and THAAD for terminal phase intercepts (and David’s Sling if the missile is fired at a military site). No Iron Dome, it’s not designed to intercept ballistic missiles.

      Here’s an exaggerated not to scale graphic showing the phases of flight of a MaRV equipped ballistic missile, the captions are based on the flight behaviour of the Iranian Fattah-1 missile:

      The first chance to intercept after the launch of the missile is detected by US Space Force early warning satellites, is early in the midcourse/unpowered flight phase, or even late in the boost phase with a US Navy SM-3, if a US Navy warship is close enough to Yemen and has an SM-3 to spare. That was not the case according to reports, no mention of SM-3. Then the next chance to intercept is with an Arrow-3 in the midcourse, the missile evidently evaded midcourse interception, the Palestine-2 and Fattah-1 missiles can do that better than others.

      Then there’s the terminal intercept systems in Arrow 2 and THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Air Defense). The reason THAAD was brought in was to plug a defensive gap in the Arrow-2 system, which has a maximum altitude ceiling of 50km. Thus, a Maneuverable Re-entry Vehicle (MaRV) capable ballistic missile could glide above that ceiling, before diving straight down towards the target at a steep angle, giving Arrow 2 a very short time to engage (around 36 seconds to illuminate, fire and intercept if the average speed of the Marv is 4200kph, Arrow-2 can engage targets at altitudes between 8-50km). THAAD plugs this gap as it’s maximum altitude ceiling is 150km, so MaRVs can’t glide above that (hence terminal high altitude air defence acronym). THAAD can’t engage targets at lower altitudes though, it’s minimum altitude floor is 40km, meaning that THAAD on its own could be defeated by MaRVs gliding under this floor. Thus THAAD is designed to be used in conjunction with systems like Arrow-2 or Patriot which cover those lower altitudes, they compliment each other as a layered terminal air defence net. To make interception as difficult as possible, a MaRV could glide say at an altitude between 40-50km before diving down to the target, at the edge of both THAAD and Arrow-2s floor and ceiling respectively. So I’d guess what happened was something like that, and both THAAD and Arrow-2 fired interceptors and both missed this time.

      Graphic showing THAAD engagement envelope, with a hypothetical Iranian Dezful MaRV trajectory plan to glide under the engagement envelope:

  • buckykat [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    Trump is cancelling SLS

    Pros: SLS sucks and is a scam

    Cons: it’s all gonna be Starship now, which also sucks and is a scam. Falcon does not suck and is not a scam, but is pretty small and narrow for BLEO use.

    • TheModerateTankie [any]@hexbear.net
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      3 months ago

      This seems to be a direct response to the us covid website turning into a wuhan lab leak conspiracy page.

      Its not surprising that covid was first detected in a country that actually tested and was looking for SARS, and had previous outbreaks due to wildlife in the region carrying the virus. The US certainly wasn’t looking.

      Covid was in the US earlier than officially recognized, but no one has bothered to try and determine how much earlier.

      If a virus was going around killing people in retirement homes, and it wasn’t the flu, they would just shrug and go “old people just do that”. Its what they did in the later months of 2019, and its what they’ve been doing “after covid” too.

      I guess the question is how long could covid be in a country before hospitals started getting flooded?

    • LoveYourself [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      3 months ago

      In support of the oppressed Palestinian people and their mujahideen, and in rejection of the crime of genocide perpetrated by the Zionist enemy against our people in the Gaza Strip.

      The missile force of the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out a military operation targeting Ben Gurion Airport in the occupied region of Yaffa using a hypersonic ballistic missile.

      The missile successfully hit its target, thanks be to Allah.

      The included results of the operation were as follows:

      • The failure of American and Israeli interception systems to intercept it.
      • The escape of more than three million Zionists to shelters.
      • The airport’s operations were completely halted for more than an hour.

      The Yemeni Armed Forces hereby reiterate their warning to all international airlines against continuing their flights to Ben Gurion Airport, as it has become unsafe for air traffic.

      Earlier yesterday evening, the UAV force of the Yemeni Armed Forces carried out a military operation targeting a vital Israeli enemy target in the occupied area of Ashkelon using a Yaffa drone.

      Yemen, its people, leadership, and army, with Allah’s help, reliance on Allah, and confidence in Allah’s victory, will continue to remain steadfast and resolute in the face of American aggression. They will not abandon their religious, moral, and humanitarian duty toward the oppressed Palestinian people, regardless of the repercussions, until the aggression against Gaza stops and the siege is lifted.

      Sana’a, Dhu al-Qi’dah 6, 1446 AH May 4, 2025 AD

      Issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces

      http://t.me/army21ye

      • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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        3 months ago

        Well, the Palestine-2 is a (Maneuverable Re-entry Vehicle) MaRV equipped ballistic missile, and if it has parts from the Fattah-1 MaRV, it contains a thrust vector control rocket motor on the MaRV itself, allowing for midcourse trajectory changes while exoatmospheric (to evade midcourse interception systems like Arrow-3 and SM-3) and improved flight performance in the glide phases.

        THAAD is the only system Israel have that’s capable of plugging the holes in the defence and intercepting these MaRVs if or when they evade midcourse interception systems

        A 100% interception rate is obviously impossible. So far, Yemen has launched 27 ballistic missiles at Israel (of various types, some MaRV equipped, some not), with 2 direct hits, and some debris landing in Israel from interceptions. That’s around a 92.5% interception rate (partial or full interception), and on the flipside, a 7.5% direct hit rate. However this with only one or two missiles being fired at a time, if a sufficient number of missiles is fired in a volley (like Iran did in Operation True Promise II), a lot more direct hits will occur, even with THAAD in the picture now. Accuracy is still the main issue with Iranian designed Medium Range Ballistic Missiles, this one landed over 500m away from any potential target at the airport.

  • RedStarOS [it/its]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    TASS: Trump vows to reduce customs duties for China

    “At some point, I’m going to lower them because otherwise, you could never do business with them. And they want to do business very much. Look, their economy is really doing badly. Their economy is collapsing,” he told NBC News in an interview.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    The Washington Post reports that Mike Waltz was dismissed due to his extensive communication with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about military action against Iran. Officials in the Trump administration believed he was trying to ‘tip the scales in favor of military action’ and was closely collaborating with the Israelis.

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  • LoveYourself [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    Palestinians in Lebanon fear another ‘War on the Camps’ as Israeli airstrikes continue

    As Israeli airstrikes throughout Lebanon continue, the Lebanese state is threatening to disarm Palestinian factions in the refugee camps. Residents fear this is a prelude to an all-out assault on the camps — and the Palestinian cause.

    https://mondoweiss.net/2025/05/palestinians-in-lebanon-fear-another-war-on-the-camps-as-israeli-airstrikes-continue/

  • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    3 months ago

    US airstrikes continue on Yemen for the 50th night in a row. The following governorates were hit by airstrikes:

    Hodeidah:

    • 2 airstrikes on Kamaran Island.
    • 1 airstrike on As Salif District, near Ras Isa Fuel Port.
    • 2 airstrikes on Ras Isa Fuel Port.

    Ma’rib:

    • 6 airstrikes on Medghal District.
    • 5 airstrikes on Majzar District.
    • 3 airstrikes on Majzar District in a second round.
    • 2 airstrikes on Baraqish area in the Majzar district in a third round.
    • 3 airstrikes on Majzar District in a fourth round.

    Saada:

    • 3 airstrikes on Sahar District.
    • 8 airstrikes on the Takhiya area in the Majz District.

    Al-Jawf:

    • 2 airstrikes on Al-Mahzamat area.
    • 10 airstrikes on Al-Hazm district.

    Very intense rounds of airstrikes tonight, almost 50 total. None on Sana’a though.

    Warning for potential graphic imagery during ongoing airstrikes:

    Al Masirah TV twitter

    Xcancel mirror

    I hope to get a post out tomorrow on “frankenSAMs” using air to air infrared guided missiles converted to a surface to air role, passive infrared detection systems and unmanned surface vessels, and why 5th generation aircraft capabilities combined with weapons that use multiple forms of guidance to track moving targets are important for modern air forces, in the context of Ukraine and Yemen, given recent events (Ukraine shot down a Russian Su-30 over the Black Sea). No promises though.