Oh no, you!

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Joined 8 个月前
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Cake day: 2024年11月3日

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  • Yup, most likely. For starters it’s the obvious things like austerity and deferring costs where possible. But states also borrow against future tax income - that’s their main lever. It’s not the same as printing money, but if investors dry up and central banks step in, it starts to blur. In that case, inflation ends up being the fallback tool to soften the real burden.

    Right now, the weirdness that is war economy keeps the books somewhat balanced, but as soon as it’s time to revert to a civilian economy the pain will hit.

    Daddy vladdy can’t win this war. But he can’t afford to stop it either. The longer it goes on, the worse the economic fallout.

    After WWII, the Allies faced some short-term economic adjustment as wartime production wound down. In the U.S., there was a brief period of inflation and industrial transition, but a major recession didn’t happen. Consumer demand surged, and rebuilding Europe helped sustain economic momentum, though this relied more on civilian goods and infrastructure than military exports. For russia, that kind of soft landing seems unlikely. With Syria largely incapacitated, Iran probably not prioritizing imports any time soon, and Russians military hardware reputation damaged in Ukraine, it’s hard to see a strong export-driven recovery for russia.

    Well, North Korea would probably love to import whatever russia can export… But they’re not exactly the international equivalent of scrooge mcduck.








  • I think it’s a “glitch”. Our brains are wired towards pattern recognitions, and this often manifests itself in recognizing seemingly random shapes as faces because of a vague resemblance.

    It is my belief that music is a similar trait where we recognize patterns in rhythm, sound, and motifs as something pleasant because we are built to recognize and categorize so many things to the point where a series of sounds can give a pleasant feeling once we’re able to “parse” it.

    Source: None, really. Just me having given this a lot of thought in the past, as I’m very musically interested myself.