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Cake day: October 6th, 2023

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  • It absolutely wont. The only people who believe this are trying to sell AI, or repeating the ones selling AI.

    Nobody has a marketable AI product, nobody is making any money on AI, nobody is effectively using AI as a replacement for workers except in the content-slop industry. Not out of charity, but because LLMs can’t do the things that are being constantly promised.

    Amazon spend a hundred billion dollars on AI, and made 5 billion on it. That’s income, not profit. OpenAI is scraping together more capital because they’re going broke from not having a product to sell. Everyone using LLMs for anything right now is paying FAR under operating costs, and would stop immediately if they weren’t being funded by VC.






  • They cancelled 1, scrapped 2, are “refitting” one and using one.

    Kirov/Ushakov had a “reactor incident” on its 2nd deployment, and since it was 1990, the Naval budget was some large negative number and it was never fixed.

    Frunze/Lazarev sailed to the Pacific Fleet, then spent 5 years sailing around their home water, 7 years doing nothing, 6 years fueled in dock and 15 years as a rusting hulk before being scrapped. Again, no money.

    Kalinin/Nakhimov actually did stuff until 1997 and has spent every single day since then “undergoing refit”. It will return to service next year in the same way Elon Musk is going to Mars next year.

    Andropov/Pyotr Veliki is actually in active service in the Northern fleet, actually goes on long trips and does exercises, like a normal ship does. It only got declared a deathtrap unfit for use once, in 2004, and seems to be doing OK now. It’s massively outdated though, and is said to be withdrawn when Nakhimov is finished refitting (so never)