I didnt say they wouldn’t. But its still infrastructure if they widened the roads for it.

I think you’re estimates for launch costs are off. Starship is targeting $50-$200/kg or lower if they are successful. In the short term, you’re $30 million is probably more correct or maybe even to low, but they will very likely lose money while they iterate on reusability and get the costs down to their expected levels.

It’s going to take a lot of launches to get Starship to the point of reusability where the $50-200/kg comes true, but they need to launch something to help recoup those costs which is what starlink/ai will be. I’m not convinced the AI dishes will generate as much revenue as they think though and that it will still be a loss.

The current spec’d ship can theoretically do 100T+ but that’ll be expanded, but that puts all in launch costs and staffing and refurbishment etc at around $5-20 million per launch. You don’t sell it for $50/kg if you can’t eventually support the whole business at $50/kg.

Assuming they can fully utilize the 100T with these dishes that’s ~50 DC Satellites per launch as currently designed, or ~6250Kw compute and 7500Kw of solar per launch. (edit: for reference, its going to be 60 starlink v3, so if physical size isn’t a limiting factor, just 10 less dishes)

I don’t know where you’re getting $4.5 million for 150kw of solar. Space will be more expensive, but it’s $1.1-$1.5w in the USA right now at large commercial scale on land, and SpaceX will be making their own so there’s no profit margin on that. You’re putting it at 20x-27x the cost of land solar after someone takes a profit.

I have no idea what radiators will cost, but they figured it out for Starlink v3, this will just be a lot bigger. (edit: i do expect it to cost less than the solar array though, it should be simpler)

I think we might get a lot more details on what things could actually cost, if we can get any leaked or real info about what a Starlink V3 satellite costs, which maybe now that they’re public, that will come out once they start launching? They might obfuscate the per dish cost though by grouping it with other things?

I like your idea of some future taxing of usage in space. As it gets more crowded, more money will need to be spent on monitoring it, and coordinating things all of which is an ongoing cost, and taxing it yearly/per dish to help fund research and such would be great.

That sir is not a bike lane hahaha.

They do spend it, just as collateralized loans. He’s heavily influencing elections around the world with it.

If Mars has a luxury resort that billionaires are willing to go to, it’s going to be pretty developed and the world as we know it will be very different as that means it’s also heavily colonized.

just write it as >=billionaries

the world doesn’t need anymore >=billionaires!

He almost over leveraged himself with Twitter as the market was crashing, that would have been a sight to see if he hadn’t derisked that and sold stock instead.

Headline: Musk buys twitter, but loses nearly all control of Tesla as margin call in crashing market wipes him out.

Outright banning using collateral for loans wouldn’t work, even us plebs can do that and it has uses, like taking out a loan against your house. And if it’s not stocks, its something else they have that’s worth a lot or will loophole around into. They just need to tax collateralized loans or ban it after a certain amount.

edit: and if you get to the point that its taxed (if its at a threshold) then you got enough money to pay someone to figure it out and manage it.

Damn hahaha id never heard that story. I knew hed bought the car though. What an idiot.

90 days is a pretty short time to be pardoned by trump. Think they can get his attention quick enough?

If they widened the roads to be able have space to make the lane id say it is. If they just threw it in there and made a uncomfortable spot to bike id say not.

Is ash actually a fox or just a fox lookalike?

Edit: nevermind I now see which community i stumbled into haha

This is a very old story, but I didnt know she was also an OpenAI board member. When the story broke it was about her being a Neuralink exec.

This isnt the only women he’s donated sperm to either.

If they got starlink they’re all lying, but they might not have it yet.

They’d pay the commercial rates whatever that is, but either way, they’re lying.

Well, they brought Intel on for the Terrafab so depending on how involved they are, the knowledge they need is there. SpaceX and Tesla know how to build big vertically integrated factories as well, so the combo could work.

The satellites very well could be cheaper given land costs, power issues, water issue, cooling issues, NIMBY issues etc etc. They already mass produce satellites cheaply, and these satellites are more simple than starlinks other than they have a lot more solar panels and a bigger radiator.

The issues with the satellites being successful completely hinges on starship succeeding and being rapidly reusable. If they cant get to that point, then the satellites will cost too much to launch.

The 5 year GPU obsolescence isnt an issue, they’re only going to have a 5ish year lifespan anyway before deorbiting.

If starship works, the data center dishes will work, but just because they work, doesnt mean there’s enough people out there to use the AI inference compute they want to launch. I think thats where its going to fail. Not enough people want to use the pricey AI, and these crazy valuations assume people will. Its the same problem at all the AI companies.

All that being said, the IPO was still crazy overpriced.

I’m wondering what the Vegas bookies would give for odds on the bill banning forced prison labor.

This isnt about NATO, its about attacking Ukraine from another spot. NATO wont do anything if they do that.

160km detour is quite a long time to see something happening and get a drone there, that’s brutal.

In the more short/medium term, is it more important to isolate Crimea this way so they can’t support the front lines, especially via the Kerch bridge, or as a way to push them out of Crimea sooner?

It happens up here in Canada as well, so not just a USA thing, at least with the telecoms.

And ya it really sucks.