

I don’t think tomorrow is what most have claimed, but maybe “any time now”, which has kind of been true for the past year.
The signs have been clear for a couple of years now, that the Russian economy can’t handle the war effort against Ukraine in the long run. But the time scale is very hard to predict, if not outright impossible. But in the beginning we knew that when the war chest Putin had saved up was dry, it would only be a matter of time before the Russian economy would see a steep downturn, those early predictions have come true.
But if for instance we get an extremely mild winter, Russia might actually push through it this year too.
But the way it looks, the infrastructure is collapsing, one aspect is that Russia commonly has centralized heating plants, that supply hot water to apartments. These are often based on waste heat from electricity production. And we known in many areas they are behind on maintenance of those, which potentially can leave people without both electricity and heat.
How bad this goes is hard to predict, but we are seeing problems already, despite we are only just out of maintenance season!
The Russian economy, infrastructure and population have been stretched beyond their limits for some time now, the real question is when the parts begin to snap.
I am pretty certain this winter will do it to a big enough degree on the economy and infrastructure for the population to snap too.
The story from the power plant where the workers strike is an example of it. Remember this is GRU (KGB) country, workers don’t complain unless they have really really serious reasons to do so. If you complain you risk going to prison, and going to prison is almost like a death sentence in Russia.























Maybe when you lose your healthcare you will understand why they did it.