• Clbull@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    63
    arrow-down
    9
    ·
    edit-2
    16 hours ago

    Called it, using Allan Lichtman’s own 13 keys principle (in ways that he himself overlooked), and on a heavily downvoted comment.

    Where I was wrong was with how narrow the result would he. It wasn’t even Gore v Bush levels of close unlike when Lichtman’s 13 keys prediction previously failed. Kamala lost the popular vote to a convicted felon that tried to usurp democracy and is the reason why abortion is no longer a federal right. The Republicans spent the last few weeks crapping on Haitians and Puerto Ricans, yet won some districts with large Latino populations.

    This is what happens when Democrats ignore their voter base and choose a cabal of unpopular and uncharismatic candidates to carry the torch. The bar is now so low that we need James Cameron to venture out into the Mariana Trench and lift it back up again…

    • alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      48
      arrow-down
      6
      ·
      edit-2
      16 hours ago

      Harris was popular when she first announced. She then proceeded to run to the cold dead embrace of the Biden campaign.

      Progressive policy is more popular than any candidate, if they focused on rent control, free healthcare, free childcare, free college and other immediate, material improvements to people’s conditions, they’d have won in a landslide. Instead they abandoned the rest of the country to pursue the <10% of republicans who weren’t in the bag for Trump.

      • FutileRecipe@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        33
        ·
        15 hours ago

        Harris was popular when she first announced.

        I don’t think she was popular when first announced, rather the fact that not-Biden was popular.

        • El Barto@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          10
          arrow-down
          2
          ·
          15 hours ago

          I’m convinced that Biden would have won.

          I personally believe that this is not Biden’s or Kamala’s fault. It’s the old-school Democrat establishment’s fault. They did Bernie dirty in 2016. And then they did the same to Biden in these elections. Lichtman predicted a Biden win, bad debate performance and all, and the dems fucked it up.

          To be transparent, I still believed Lichtman when he said Harris would win. I will never believe in his stuff again, unless he adds new keys or something.

          • octopus_ink@lemmy.ml
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            8
            ·
            edit-2
            14 hours ago

            I personally believe that this is not Biden’s or Kamala’s fault. It’s the old-school Democrat establishment’s fault. They did Bernie dirty in 2016. And then they did the same to Biden in these elections.

            Yes. Every time, even in 2020 when the mood of the country was very different, they are afraid to run anything other than center-right candidates because they “aren’t electable”. Guess what - your corporatist center-right candidates are consistently priming people to receive the protectionist messages from the fascists, Maybe fucking try something different some time, fucking DNC!

              • octopus_ink@lemmy.ml
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                3
                ·
                14 hours ago

                In the words of my boomer mother, “Things aren’t going to get better until the boomers die off.”

      • octopus_ink@lemmy.ml
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        11
        ·
        14 hours ago

        Instead they abandoned the rest of the country to pursue the <10% of republicans who weren’t in the bag for Trump.

        YES! I held my nose and voted for her, she turned her back on everything that looked like hope and change during her campaign. Her reaction to R looking weak was to jump to the right, somehow.

        Having said that, anyone who needed to be wooed to not vote for Trump was a lost cause, but she literally turned away from every sort of policy decision that excites Democrats.

    • Elbow@lemmy.zip
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      14 hours ago

      I think inflation is the biggest part of why Trump won. People wrongly blamed Biden for it. I guess we’ll just have to learn some lessons again.

    • coyootje@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      14
      arrow-down
      7
      ·
      16 hours ago

      Is there any chance that shit was rigged this time around? As an outsider it’s honestly just crazy to me that the difference can be so huge, almost unimaginable.

      • Saleh@feddit.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        13
        arrow-down
        6
        ·
        15 hours ago

        Or it goes to show how much of a bubble we have here and how skewed the reporting in other countries is. So far there is absolutely no indication that it would be rigged and frankly the disconnect of the liberal online bubbles es emblematic for the disconnect of the Dem party from the people.

      • octopus_ink@lemmy.ml
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        14 hours ago

        Even if it were - what are we gonna do about it? After shitting all over the place with their BS for the past four years, claiming an election is stolen has risen to “jet fuel can’t melt steel beams” levels.

        There would need to be a 4k video of Trump and cronies detailing exactly how they were going to do it, and every detail would need to be easily verified, and even then I’m not sure it would get enough traction to matter.